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Dr. Arthur Paul Pedersen

CV

Areas of Specialization

Epistemology (including Formal Epistemology), Philosophical and Mathematical Logic,
Normative and Behavioral Decision Theory, Probability Theory, Philosophy of Science


Areas of Competence

Analytic Philosophy, Philosophy of Logic and Language, Philosophy of Mathematics, Game Theory


Education

Carnegie Mellon University

Ph.D. Logic, Computation and Methodology (2012)
Dissertation: Archimedes Wake
Committee: Teddy Seidenfeld (co-advisor), Rohit Parikh (CUNY), Marcus Pivato (Université de Cergy-Pontoise), Kevin Zollman (co-advisor)

M.S. Logic, Computation and Methodology (2009)
Committee: Horacio Arló-Costa (co-advisor) and Teddy Seidenfeld


University of Wisconsin-Madison

Research Fellow in the Department of Mathematics (2005 - 2006)
Advisor: Itaï Ben Yaacov


University of Notre Dame

Visitor of the Department of Mathematics on Scholarship (Summer 2005)


University of Wisconsin-Madison

B.A. Philosophy (2005)
B.A. Mathematics (2005)

Publications

Peer-Reviewed Articles

“Dilation, Disintegrations, and Delayed Decisions” (with Gregory Wheeler). In T. Augustin, S. Doria, E. Miranda, and E. Quaeghebeur, editors, Proceedings of the Ninth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications (ISIPTA): 227-236, 2015.

“Demystifying Dilation” (with Gregory Wheeler). Erkenntnis, 79(6): 1305-1342, December 2014.

“Comparative Expectations.” Studia Logica, 102(4): 811-848, August 2014.

“When is an Example a Counterexample?” (with Eric Pacuit and Jan-Willem Romeijn). In B.C. Schipper, editor, Proceedings of the Fourteenth Conference on Theoretical Aspects of Rationality and Knowledge (TARK), 156-165, 2013.

“What Language Dependence Problem? A Reply for Joyce to Fitelson on Joyce” (with Clark Glymour). Philosophy of Science, 79(4): 561-574, October 2012.

“Fast and Frugal Heuristics: Rationality and the Limits of Naturalism” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). Synthese: 1-20, November 2012.

“Belief and Probability: A General Theory of Probability Cores” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 53(3): 293-315, April 2012.

“Belief Revision” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). In L. Horsten and R. Pettigrew, editors, Continuum Companion to Philosophical Logic. Continuum Press, 2011.

“Bounded Rationality: Models for Some Fast and Frugal Heuristics” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). In A. Gupta, J.F.A.K. van Benthem, and E. Pacuit, editors, Games, Norms and Reasons: Logic at the Crossroads. Springer, 2011. A tribute to Rohit Parikh on the occasion of his 70th birthday.

“Social Norms, Rational Choice and Belief Change” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). In E.J. Olsson and S. Enqvist, editors, Belief Revision meets Philosophy of Science, Vol. 21 of Logic, Epistemology, and the Unity of Science. Springer, 2010.

“A Proof of Completeness for Continuous First-Order Logic” (with Itaï Ben Yaacov). Journal of Symbolic Logic, 75(1): 168-190, March 2010.


Edited Works

Finding Foundations for Bounded and Adaptive Rationality (co-edited with Ralph Hertwig). Minds and Machines, expected 2015.

Presentations

TBA. (April 2016). Invited Discussion Panel: Second Munich Graduate Workshop in Mathematical Philosophy: Formal Epistemology, Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy.

TBA. (March 2016). Invited Tutorial Session: MuST 9: Evidence, Inference, and Risk, Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy.

TBA. (March 2016). Invited Symposium: Full Belief and Partial Belief. The 113th Annual Meeting of the Central Division of the American Philosophical Association (APA), Chicago.

“Admissible Decisions, Permissive Previsions” (5 November 2015). Colloquium in Mathematical Philosophy, Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy.

“Strictly Coherent Choice under Uncertainty.” (3 September 2015). The Eighth Workshop on Principles and Methods of Statistical Inference with Interval Probability (WPMSIIP), Department of Statistics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München.

“Predictable Doubts” (with Gregory Wheeler). (1 September 2015). The Eighth Workshop on Principles and Methods of Statistical Inference with Interval Probability (WPMSIIP), Department of Statistics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München.

“Dilation, Disintegrations, and Delayed Decisions” (with Gregory Wheeler). (July 2015). The Ninth Bienniel International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications (ISIPTA), Pescara.

“Slightly More Radical Personal Probability.” (8 July 2015). Bristol-Groningen Conference in Formal Epistemology, University of Bristol.

“Slightly More Radical Personal Probability.” (13 June 2015). Workshop on Probability and Belief, University of Regensburg.

“Comparative Expectations” (2 June 2015). Research Colloquium, Düsseldorf Center for Logic and Philosophy of Science, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf.

“Dilation, Disintegrations, Dominance Principles, and Delayed Decisions.” (6 February 2015). Workshop on Information, Search, and Causes: Rational and Cognitive Approaches, Center for Logic, Language, and Cognition, University of Turin.

“Demystifying Dilation” (with Gregory Wheeler). (27 June 2014). Workshop on Imprecise Probabilities in Statistics and Philosophy, Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy.

“Numerical Representations of Ordered Vector Spaces.” (6 June 2014). Seminar on Model Theory, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Konstanz.

“Dogmas, Dominance, and Disintegrations.” (30 April 2014). Formal Epistemology Symposium: Justification and Probabilistic Support, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Groningen.

“Great Expectations: Strictly Coherent Preferences, No Holds Barred.” (16 October 2013). Research Colloquium, Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development.

“Prospects for a Theory of Non-Archimedean Expected Utility: Impossibilities and Possibilities.” (18 September 2013). The Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (PROGIC), Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy.

“An Extension Theorem and a Numerical Representation Theorem for Qualitative Comparative Expectations without an Archimedean Axiom, without Measurability or Closure Conditions, and without help from Ultraproducts.” (6 August 2013). The 46th Annual Meeting of the Society for Mathematical Psychology (MathPsych), University of Potsdam.

“A Very Brief Introduction to Non-Monotonic Logic: Formal and Philosophical Issues.” (1 August 2013). Workshop on Descriptive and Normative Theories of Conditionals, Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development.

“Strictly Coherent Preferences, No Holds Barred.” (25 July 2013). The 13th Annual Conference of the Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET): Current Trends in Economics, Mines ParisTech.

“Bigger is Not Always Better When Nothing is Good Enough.” (18 July 2013). Colloquium in Mathematical Philosophy, Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy.

“When is an Example a Counterexample?” (with Eric Pacuit and Jan-Willem Romeijn). (7 January 2013; delivered by Hans van Ditmarsch on our behalf). The 14th Conference on Theoretical Aspects of Rationality and Knowledge (TARK), Institute of Mathematical Sciences.

“Conditional Probability, Conditionals, Belief, And Decision: The Theory of Probability Cores.” (3 August 2012). Logic Workshop in Buenos Aires, Sociedad Argentina De Análisis Filisófico.

“Individual and Collective Deliberation in Decision Making” (with Eric Pacuit). (5 June 2012). Workshop on Consensus, Ecole Normale Supérieure.

“The Theory of Probability Cores in Bayesian Epistemology and Decision Theory.” (2 June 2012). The Ninth Annual Formal Epistemology Workshop (FEW), Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy.

“Matryoshka Epistemology: The Role of Cores in Belief and Decision.” (19 November 2011). Commemorative Colloquium for Horacio Arló-Costa, Carnegie Mellon University.

“Matryoshka Epistemology: The Role of Cores in Belief and Decision.” (10 September 2011). The Fifth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (PROGIC), Columbia University.

“Filling in the Foundations of Probability.” (9 September 2011). Seminar on Logic and Games, CUNY Graduate Center.

“Dutch Books for Primitive Conditional Probability and Lexicographic Decision-Making, or Probabilism with Tiers: Where to Find Support when You Want It.” (26 June 2011). The Eighth Annual Episteme Conference, Carnegie Mellon University.

“Fast and Frugal Heuristics in Perspective: Take the Best and the Priority Heuristic in Perspective” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). (1 December 2010). Workshop on Experience, Heuristics, and Choice: Prospects for Bounded Rationality, Carnegie Mellon University.

“Indicative Conditionals, Obligation and Decision Theoretic Conditionals” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). (4 September 2010). The Seventh Annual Formal Epistemology Workshop (FEW), University of Konstanz.

“Fast and Frugal Heuristics: Take the Best and the Priority Heuristic in Perspective” (with Horacio Arló-Costa). (15 April 2010). Synthese Conference on Epistemology and Economics, Columbia University.

“Comments on Sarah Moss’s ‘Updating as Communication.’” (19 June 2009). The Sixth Annual Formal Epistemology Workshop (FEW), Carnegie Mellon University.

“Comments on Paul Weirich’s ‘Calibration.’” (20 February 2009). The 106th Annual Meeting of the Central Division of the American Philosophical Association (APA), Chicago.

“Completeness for Continuous First-Order Logic.” (10 April 2007). Mathematical Logic Seminar, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University.

“Completeness for Continuous First-Order Logic.” (2 March 2006). Southern Wisconsin Logic Colloquium (SWLC), Department of Mathematics, University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Service

January 2013 – Present

Editorial Board Member

Minds and Machines


Journal Referee

The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, Erkenntnis, Journal of Philosophical Logic, The Journal of Symbolic Logic, Minds and Machines, Philosophy of Science, Synthese, Studia Logica, Mathematical Logic Quarterly, Philosophical Quarterly, The Review of Symbolic Logic, Journal of Economic Methodology, International Journal of Approximate Reasoning (multiple times for some journals)


Conference Referee

International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications (ISIPTA) in Pescara (2015)

Theoretical Aspects of Rationality and Knowledge (TARK) in Pittsburgh (2015)

Conference on Causal and Probabilistic Reasoning (CPR) in Munich (2015)

Meeting of the Central States Philosophical Association (CSPA) in Evanston (2014)

Conference on Logic and the Foundations of Game and Decision Theory (LOFT) in Bergen (2014)

Finding Foundations for Bounded and Adaptive Rationality in Berlin (2013)

Workshop on Logic, Language, Information and Computation (WOLLIC) in Buenos Aires (2012)

Games, Interactive Rationality and Learning (GIRL) in Lund (2012)

Meeting of Society for Exact Philosophy (SEP) in Winnipeg (2011)

Meeting of the Canadian Philosophical Association (CPA) in Montreal (2010)


Program Committee Member

Munich Graduate Workshop in Mathematical Philosophy: Formal Epistemology in Munich (2016)

Conference on Logic and the Foundations of Game and Decision Theory (LOFT) in Maastricht (2016)

Conference on Causal and Probabilistic Reasoning (CPR) in Munich (2015)

International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications (ISIPTA) in Pescara (2015)

Conference on Logic and the Foundations of Game and Decision Theory (LOFT) in Bergen (2014)

SIPTA Workshop on Uncertainty at Columbia University (2010)


April 2013 – November 2013

Conference and Program Chair

Finding Foundations for Bounded and Adaptive Rationality in Berlin (2013)


August 2009 – April 2010

Workshop Organizer

SIPTA Workshop on Uncertainty at Columbia University (2010)


August 2007 – August 2011

Conference Organizer

Annual Pitt-CMU Graduate Student Philosophy Conference


November 2008

Session Chair

“Inference, Abduction,Trials,” The 21st Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association (PSA)


February 2014 – August 2015

Applicant Interviewer

Faculty Search Committee for the Center for Adaptive Rationality


April 2013 – April 2015

Applicant Reviewer

Annual Summer Institute on Bounded Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development


May 2011 – July 2011

Committee Member

Teller Committee for SIPTA 2011 Election


June 2011 - Present

Presiding Administrator

Choice & Inference


January 2009 - February 2009

Admissions Committee Member

Graduate Student Admissions Committee for Department of Philosophy, Carnegie Mellon University

  1. Fakultät für Philosophie, Kunst-, Geschichts- und Gesellschaftswissenschaften
  2. Institut für Philosophie

Research Scientist

 

Pedersen