Bio
Bio
Since Oktober 2017, Tobias Hartl fills a position as doctoral researcher at the Chair of Econometrics. Furthermore, Tobias Hartl works at the Institute for Employment Research in Nuremberg.
Research
Unobserved components models, Long memory, Fractional cointegration, Factor models, Forecasts
Education
2017: Master of Science, Economics, University of Regensburg
2015: Bachelor of Science, Economics, University of Regensburg
Publications
Peer-Reviewed Publications
Hartl, T. and Jucknewitz, R. (2020) Approximate state space modelling of unobserved fractional components. Econometric Reviews, forthcoming
Submitted Working Papers
Hartl, T. (2020) Macroeconomic Forecasting with Fractional Factor Models, arXiv.org, Working paper (Under review at the International Journal of Forecasting. Status: Major Revision)
Hartl, T., and Weigand, R. (2019) Multivariate Fractional Components Analysis, arXiv.org, (Under review at the Journal of Financial Econometrics. Status: Major Revision)
Work in Progress
Hartl, T., Tschernig, R., and Weber, E. (2020) Fractional trends in unobserved components models
Hartl, T., Tschernig, R., and Weber, E. (2020) Solving the unobserved components puzzle: A fractional approach to measuring the business cycle
Further Publications
Hartl, T., Wälde, K., Weber, E. (2020) Measuring the impact of the German public shutdown on the spread of Covid-19. Covid Economics, 1:25-32
Donsimoni, J.R., Glawion, R., Hartl, T., Plachter, B., Timmer, J., Wälde, K., Weber, E., Weiser, C. (2020) Covid-19 in Deutschland - Erklärung, Prognose und Einfluss gesundheitspolitischer Maßnahmen. Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, 21(3):250-262
Hartl, T., Hutter, C., and Weber, E. (2020) Neueinstellungen in der Krise, Makronom.de, 2020-06-18
Hartl, T. and Weber, E. (2020) Welche Maßnahmen brachten Corona unter Kontrolle? Ökonomenstimme, 2020-05-12
Hartl, T., Wälde, K., Weber, E. (2020) Measuring the impact of the German public shutdown on the spread of Covid-19. VoxEU.org, 2020-04-14
Hartl, T., Hutter, C., and Weber, E. (2018) Big Data bei der BA: Neue Erkenntnisse zum Suchverhalten am Arbeitsmarkt. IAB-Forum, 2018-05-29
