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Tobias Hartl

Bio

Bio

Since Oktober 2017, Tobias Hartl fills a position as doctoral researcher at the Chair of Econometrics. Furthermore, Tobias Hartl works at the Institute for Employment Research in Nuremberg.

Research

Unobserved components models, Long memory, Fractional cointegration, Factor models, Forecasts

Education

2017: Master of Science, Economics, University of Regensburg
2015: Bachelor of Science, Economics, University of Regensburg

Publications

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Hartl, T. and Jucknewitz, R. (2020) Approximate state space modelling of unobserved fractional components. Econometric Reviews, forthcoming

Submitted Working Papers

Hartl, T. (2020) Macroeconomic Forecasting with Fractional Factor Models, arXiv.org, Working paper (Under review at the International Journal of Forecasting. Status: Major Revision)

Hartl, T., and Weigand, R. (2019) Multivariate Fractional Components Analysis, arXiv.org, (Under review at the Journal of Financial Econometrics. Status: Major Revision)

Work in Progress

Hartl, T., Tschernig, R., and Weber, E. (2020) Fractional trends in unobserved components models

Hartl, T., Tschernig, R., and Weber, E. (2020) Solving the unobserved components puzzle: A fractional approach to measuring the business cycle

Further Publications

Hartl, T., Wälde, K., Weber, E. (2020) Measuring the impact of the German public shutdown on the spread of Covid-19. Covid Economics, 1:25-32

Donsimoni, J.R., Glawion, R., Hartl, T., Plachter, B., Timmer, J., Wälde, K., Weber, E., Weiser, C. (2020) Covid-19 in Deutschland - Erklärung, Prognose und Einfluss gesundheitspolitischer Maßnahmen. Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, 21(3):250-262

Hartl, T., Hutter, C., and Weber, E. (2020) Neueinstellungen in der Krise, Makronom.de, 2020-06-18

Hartl, T. and Weber, E. (2020) Welche Maßnahmen brachten Corona unter Kontrolle? Ökonomenstimme, 2020-05-12

Hartl, T., Wälde, K., Weber, E. (2020) Measuring the impact of the German public shutdown on the spread of Covid-19. VoxEU.org, 2020-04-14

Hartl, T., Hutter, C., and Weber, E. (2018) Big Data bei der BA: Neue Erkenntnisse zum Suchverhalten am Arbeitsmarkt. IAB-Forum, 2018-05-29

  1. Faculty of Business, Economics and Management Information Systems
  2. Department of Economics

Chair of Econometrics

Research Assistant
Picture: IAB

Building RW(L), Zi. 517
Phone +49 941 943-2739
Fax +49 941 943-4917
E-mail
Consultation hour: on request