Bio
Bio
Since Oktober 2017, Tobias Hartl fills a position as doctoral researcher at the Chair of Econometrics. Furthermore, Tobias Hartl works at the Institute for Employment Research in Nuremberg.
Research
Unobserved components models, Long memory, Fractional cointegration, Factor models, Forecasts
Education
2017: Master of Science, Economics, University of Regensburg
2015: Bachelor of Science, Economics, University of Regensburg
Publications
Submitted Working Papers
Hartl, T., Tschernig, R., Weber, E. (2020) Fractional trends in unobserved components models, arXiv.org, Working paper
Hartl, T., Tschernig, R., Weber, E. (2020) Fractional trends and cycles in macroeconomic time series, arXiv.org, Working paper
Hartl, T. (2020) Macroeconomic Forecasting with Fractional Factor Models, arXiv.org, Working paper
Hartl, T., Weigand, R. (2019) Multivariate Fractional Components Analysis, arXiv.org, (Under review at the Journal of Financial Econometrics. Status: Major Revision)
Hartl, T., Weigand, R. (2019) Approximate State Space Modelling of Unobserved Fractional Components, arXiv.org, (Under review at Econometric Reviews. Status: Major Revision)
Other Publications
Hartl, T., Wälde, K., Weber, E. (2020) Measuring the impact of the German public shutdown on the spread of Covid-19. Covid Economics, 1, p. 25-32
Donsimoni, J.R., Glawion, R., Hartl, T., Plachter, B., Timmer, J., Wälde, K., Weber, E., Weiser, C. (2020) Covid-19 in Deutschland - Erklärung, Prognose und Einfluss gesundheitspolitischer Maßnahmen. forthcoming in Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik
Hartl, T., Wälde, K., Weber, E. (2020) Measuring the impact of the German public shutdown on the spread of Covid-19. Vox EU, 1, p. 25-32
