Bio
Bio
Since Oktober 2017, Tobias Hartl fills a position as doctoral researcher at the Chair of Econometrics. Furthermore, Tobias Hartl works at the Institute for Employment Research in Nuremberg.
Research
Unobserved components models, Long memory, Fractional cointegration, Factor models, Forecasts
Education
2017: Master of Science, Economics, University of Regensburg
2015: Bachelor of Science, Economics, University of Regensburg
Publications
Peer-Reviewed Publications
Hartl, T. and Jucknewitz, R. (2021) Multivariate fractional components analysis, Journal of Financial Econometrics, forthcoming
Hartl, T. and Jucknewitz, R. (2020) Approximate state space modelling of unobserved fractional components, Econometric Reviews, forthcoming
Hartl, T., Wälde, K., Weber, E. (2020) Measuring the impact of the German public shutdown on the spread of Covid-19, Covid Economics, 1:25-32
Work in Progress
Hartl, T. (2021) Monitoring the pandemic: A fractional filter for the COVID-19 contact rate, Working paper
Hartl, T. and Hutter, C. and Weber, E. (2021) Matching for three: big data evidence on search activitiy of workers, firms, and employment service, Working paper
Hartl, T., Tschernig, R., and Weber, E. (2020) Fractional trends in unobserved components models, Working paper
Hartl, T., Tschernig, R., and Weber, E. (2020) Solving the unobserved components puzzle: A fractional approach to measuring the business cycle
Hartl, T. (2020) Macroeconomic Forecasting with Fractional Factor Models, Working paper
Further Publications
Bauer, A., Hartl, T., Hutter, C., and Weber, E. (2021) Search Processes on the labor market during the covid-19 pandemic. CESifo forum 22(4):15-19
Donsimoni, J.R., Glawion, R., Hartl, T., Plachter, B., Timmer, J., Wälde, K., Weber, E., Weiser, C. (2020) Covid-19 in Deutschland - Erklärung, Prognose und Einfluss gesundheitspolitischer Maßnahmen. Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, 21(3):250-262
Hartl, T., Hutter, C., and Weber, E. (2020) Neueinstellungen in der Krise, Makronom.de, 2020-06-18
Hartl, T. and Weber, E. (2020) Welche Maßnahmen brachten Corona unter Kontrolle? Ökonomenstimme, 2020-05-12
Hartl, T., Wälde, K., Weber, E. (2020) Measuring the impact of the German public shutdown on the spread of Covid-19. VoxEU.org, 2020-04-14
Hartl, T., Hutter, C., and Weber, E. (2018) Big Data bei der BA: Neue Erkenntnisse zum Suchverhalten am Arbeitsmarkt. IAB-Forum, 2018-05-29
